Real Estate Tops November Job Losses Despite Citywide Gains

reprints


The latest report from independent economist Barbara Denham shows that New York City gained an additional 8,700 jobs in November, but real estate was the biggest loser, with 2,000 jobs lost. 

With the new numbers, the industry logged a year-to-date loss of 1,100 jobs, though Ms. Denham noted that real estate in particular can be difficult to track due to the high number of independent firms and brokers.   

SEE ALSO: Trump 2.0 Could Dent Further an Already Beat-Up D.C. Real Estate Landscape

“I don’t think the real estate losses are anything to worry about,” she said. ““It suggests that more and more borkers are probably doing their own thing.” 

(Photo: Front Page Mag)
(Photo: Front Page Mag)

Runner up for most jobs lost was the securities industry, losing 1,200, though it had posted several months of gains recently and a year-to-date gain of 1,100 jobs. 

“To me that’s just the usual volatility in that industry… and I do think there are still a lot of firms downsizing,” despite the headline-grabbing expansions, Ms. Denham said. 

On a seasonally adjusted basis, the total jobs in New York City was 3,989,900 in November and Ms. Denham stated that leading indicators suggest that it could top 4 million soon, though unlikely that the 11,000 balance will be made up in December, as many are temporary retail jobs that will be shed in January. But the achievable 4 million milestone would suggest employment health not witnessed since the late 1960’s.

“That’s very significant,” she said. “We employ more people than we have ever employed.” 

Job gains since the last recession (August 2008 – Sept. 2009) have more than doubled losses by a ratio of 2.3, while the U.S. has only recouped approximately 80 percent of their losses, the data shows. 

The top gains in November occurred in transportation/utilities and arts/entertainment/recreation, with each category growing in November by 2,900 jobs; followed by health services and educational services, which gained 2,600 and 2,500 jobs, respectively.

“New York City continues to lead the country in terms of job growth, largely due to education, healthcare, restaurants and retail,” Ms. Denham said. “New York is expanding its private education in contract to the rest of the country.” 

A full list of industries tracked follows:

Gains:

Transportation, Utilities +2,900

Arts, Entertainment, Recreation +2,900

Health Services +2,600

Educational Services +2,500

Food Services and Drinking Places +1,300

Retail Trade +1,200

Social Services +900

Motion Picture and Sound Recording +800

Construction +700

Losses:

Real Estate -2,000

Securities -1,200

Advertising and Public Relations -900

Management Consulting -800

Accounting -600

Employment Services -400

Telecommunications -300

Computer Systems Design -300