Nailah Flake
Managing partner at Brookfield’s Credit Group
Is it better to be a lender or borrower today?
It’s a compelling time to be a lender. Higher interest rates and the resetting of real estate valuations have created attractive opportunities, with more conservative leverage, better attachment points and stronger downside protection. At the same time, capital continues to flow into real estate credit, making the market increasingly competitive.
Borrowers with high-quality assets and strong sponsorship are benefiting from more attractive financing terms and tighter pricing. Looking ahead, the significant volume of upcoming loan maturities, coupled with continued uncertainty around interest rates and valuations, should create further opportunities for lenders. Even assets with strong fundamentals could face pressure as financing costs remain elevated and valuations adjust. In this environment, we believe lenders with scale, flexibility and deep real estate expertise are particularly well positioned.
Has the can been kicked fully down the road when it comes to loan extensions, or is there more leg action to come?
The can-kicking era is coming to an end. “Extend and pretend” was a rational strategy when interest rate cuts seemed imminent, but continued extensions in a higher interest rate environment are becoming harder to justify.
That doesn’t mean every maturity will end badly. Where there’s meaningful equity and a viable business plan, constructive modifications still make sense. With liquidity improving and greater price discovery across parts of the market, we expect more refinancing and recapitalization activity.
However, assets facing significant valuation pressures, capital expenditure needs or shifting demand fundamentals, particularly where sponsors have little
equity remaining, will require more than another extension to find a path forward.
What’s your competitive edge in deals today, and who are you competing against most often (banks or non-banks)?
Our competitive advantage is the breadth of the Brookfield platform and our ability to deliver capital solutions that aren’t necessarily available from a traditional lender. We have deep real estate operating expertise, long-standing sponsor relationships, and access to different pools of capital with varying investment objectives.
That allows us to be creative in how we structure transactions and, importantly, provide certainty of execution. Having access to different capital pools gives us flexibility to play up and down the capital stack, which means we’re competing with banks and non-banks although increasingly it’s the non-banks that we’re seeing most frequently in the higher-yielding lending space.
What is the most important thing you’ve done as a lender to protect your loan portfolio over the last year?
The most important thing has been maintaining a proactive and disciplined approach to asset management. In an environment where market conditions can shift quickly, it’s critical to stay close to your sponsors, understand the underlying real estate and how business plans are progressing, and identify potential issues early. That means having candid conversations about upcoming maturities before they become problems, working constructively with borrowers where there’s a viable path forward, and taking decisive action where there isn’t.
Diversification across sectors and geographies certainly helps, but, ultimately, nothing protects a portfolio better than knowing your assets, understanding your sponsors and staying ahead of potential challenges.
Is AI indeed going to kill us all?
Hopefully not! Although I do think AI is going to expose just how much time we spend on things that technology can do faster and more efficiently. In real estate credit, the potential is tremendous, from streamlining underwriting and document review to portfolio monitoring and identifying trends across vast amounts of data. It will allow us to do more with less and free up time to focus on what really matters.
But I don’t believe AI replaces investment judgment or experience. Real estate is still a relationship business, and understanding a sponsor, evaluating the nuances of a market, or recognizing when something doesn’t quite feel right requires human perspective. AI will make us more efficient and potentially change how many people we need to do certain things, but, in my opinion, experience, relationships and good judgment will always matter.
The key is knowing how to use the technology without losing the human insight that makes the difference.
If you were marooned on a desert island, which three items would you bring, and what would be your key survival skill?
A cooler stocked with sparkling water and fresh fruit (and maybe a bottle of wine), a ridiculously comfortable lounge chair, and a really good book. I figure I should have something to keep me hydrated, something to keep me comfortable, and something to keep me entertained.
My key survival skill is resourcefulness. I’m pretty good at figuring things out, especially when things don’t go according to plan.
Lightning Round:
“Traitors” or “Alone”? “Traitors.”
If you’d attended Taylor Swift’s wedding, what gift would you have given the happy couple? A discounted fee to manage a real estate credit SMA for them.
Super Bowl or World Cup? Super Bowl — as long as the Patriots are not playing.
Orcas or yachts? Yachts!
Conversions: “Keep `em comin’ ” or “Sooo 2020 (scoff)”? Keep `em coming.
Sun Belt multifamily or Boston life sciences? Sun Belt multifamily.
Book reader or phone scroller/email checker before bed? Phone scroller/email checker, for sure!
Fitness activity of choice? I might be addicted to Pilates!